Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 7.206965 8.251579 9.410344 10.793754 12.403957 14.223186 16.440213
2025-02-23 5.719759 7.040392 8.626002 10.679783 13.283752 16.493887 20.779714
2025-03-02 4.822148 6.253833 8.074485 10.578551 13.962527 18.418422 24.798802
2025-03-09 4.168971 5.637306 7.592825 10.416632 14.437547 20.029197 28.519831
2025-03-16 3.646619 5.107542 7.130705 10.176152 14.712177 21.326169 31.899499
2025-03-23 3.425116 4.957869 7.159848 10.607433 15.967464 24.147034 37.892644
2025-03-30 3.162048 4.711368 7.010319 10.737604 16.758939 26.332202 43.166370
2025-04-06 2.894342 4.425347 6.763929 10.676716 17.221431 28.023815 47.829468
2025-04-13 2.652292 4.152122 6.504751 10.556899 17.556750 29.520912 52.334499
2025-04-20 2.532087 4.058765 6.518245 10.880350 18.666323 32.457320 59.837875
2025-04-27 2.407707 3.945097 6.484151 11.112638 19.632624 35.242260 67.450703
2025-05-04 2.325701 3.893478 6.546592 11.515557 20.945854 38.814771 77.138264
2025-05-11 2.132595 3.636801 6.236407 11.220584 20.934595 39.891567 81.957696
2025-05-18 1.989376 3.455506 6.042956 11.121577 21.287854 41.727211 88.682118
2025-05-25 1.860038 3.287749 5.858149 11.017708 21.614555 43.540707 95.634845
2025-06-01 1.734621 3.116570 5.651550 10.848586 21.784641 45.038949 102.094317
2025-06-08 1.610709 2.938198 5.416043 10.597156 21.750793 46.085845 107.640661
2025-06-15 1.581769 2.937366 5.520122 11.048131 23.274859 50.783154 122.958953
2025-06-22 1.518434 2.864621 5.476521 11.184261 24.117520 54.029375 135.152500
2025-06-29 1.438628 2.753155 5.346074 11.120585 24.497720 56.230267 144.963481
2025-07-06 1.358910 2.635901 5.194369 10.995285 24.719311 58.072567 154.117815
2025-07-13 1.329539 2.618808 5.248202 11.333552 26.082593 62.942096 172.763438
2025-07-20 1.292691 2.583311 5.260013 11.576507 27.241772 67.450125 191.239991